The West has been of the impression that by economic sanctions they can make Iran kneel to their political requests. This impression is based on prior experience of West with regard to isolating countries like North Korea in the same fashion. However, this naïve induction cannot work for the west since posing sanctions on Iran’s oil is tantamount to embracing starker cracks in recessing Western economy. This cannot be the only reason for the backlash of these sanctions, since Iraq another major oil exporter experienced similar or even harsher sanctions at Bath party era, when Saddam’s regime could exchange oil for medicine and essentials. The major element in this backlash is related to Syria’s situation.
Syria is a very close ally of Iran and its collapse by Assad’s opponents would result in a more Americanized Middle East, therefore, China and Russia two pseudo-communist countries are not going to let Assad’s enterprise come to an end, this does have the connotation that these two countries would practically resist an attack on Iran. The support of these two eastern powers has made west forget military options and in this situation any tiny threat on exporting oil by Iran will have vast effects on world economy while Iran can afford to enjoy sneers at west in peace.
This was not the case in some 10 years ago or so because Iran was not backed by any Eastern power and in case of any threat Iran had to deal with it with its Middle Eastern allies who would not have guaranteed any victory for Iran let alone causing prevention from the war.
The situation for the west is grave since in case it wants to succeed in overthrowing Iran or Syria’s regime they need to convince the Russians and Chinese. Yet this will never happen because convincing the Eastern rivals would mean succumbing to an Americanized Middle East which will end up in an Americanized Russia and China if this process continues. This will never happen unless Russia behaves naively as she did in the past; selling Alaska to Americans for money. Although Russia seems to have learnt that hegemony buys what money can not borrow!




